Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.458573 0.582445 0.715846 0.868487 1.036756 1.215222 1.417507
2025-08-03 0.299205 0.468158 0.667703 0.912557 1.198001 1.514549 1.886923
2025-08-10 0.205220 0.387426 0.619674 0.919489 1.282137 1.695441 2.192185
2025-08-17 0.118474 0.291592 0.534933 0.867623 1.285805 1.775382 2.375820
2025-08-24 0.059327 0.212499 0.455504 0.808678 1.269584 1.822719 2.513374
2025-08-31 0.029236 0.165893 0.411505 0.788168 1.294899 1.914750 2.699112
2025-09-07 0.014278 0.139052 0.391635 0.796435 1.353862 2.045397 2.928911
2025-09-14 0.004267 0.110892 0.363492 0.788913 1.389350 2.145040 3.119838
2025-09-21 0.000125 0.083574 0.330013 0.769268 1.405727 2.218694 3.277560
2025-09-28 NaN 0.078836 0.338612 0.812973 1.507642 2.400157 3.567007
2025-10-05 NaN 0.077590 0.353875 0.866901 1.623600 2.599600 3.878772
2025-10-12 NaN 0.074077 0.363404 0.911373 1.726332 2.782157 4.169859
2025-10-19 NaN 0.077040 0.389440 0.985835 1.875720 3.030627 4.550228
2025-10-26 NaN 0.072850 0.398660 1.033586 1.988874 3.234123 4.877130
2025-11-02 NaN 0.059980 0.384126 1.040807 2.043883 3.361750 5.109122
2025-11-09 NaN 0.037073 0.334695 0.985437 2.007401 3.369035 5.190042
2025-11-16 NaN 0.018922 0.284373 0.922317 1.955826 3.353808 5.240488
2025-11-23 NaN 0.010628 0.258906 0.900328 1.962197 3.413197 5.383205
2025-11-30 NaN 0.007066 0.250452 0.909194 2.014040 3.532824 5.602074
2025-12-07 NaN 0.003391 0.234125 0.901127 2.039414 3.616440 5.774765
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000776 0.212497 0.880046 2.043613 3.670700 5.909380
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000796 0.223606 0.926922 2.153157 3.868074 6.227753
2025-12-28 NaN 0.001093 0.239825 0.984654 2.279723 4.088758 6.576266